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The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

12
2 comments2
Metaculus Journal Archives

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services15%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other

Space Sector ‘Greenification’

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

The Future of Human Spaceflight

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura31%
Nata30%
and 1 other

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

>125
billion $

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

59.3%

Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives