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Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?

62%chance

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, when will it be granted?

17 Oct 2025

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%chance

What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

The case is settled53.2%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win26.7%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million10%
and 2 others

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?

80%chance

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

75%chance

Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?

20%chance

Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?

resultYes

Will Lawrence v. Texas be overturned by 2030?

20.5%chance

Will Brandy Bottone, the pregnant woman pulled over in Texas for an HOV lane violation, be found guilty in court?

resultNo