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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

44%chance
6% this week

Will Rossi's 1MW "E-Cat" tests lead to continued significant financial investment?

Ambiguous

Will radical new "low-energy nuclear reaction" technologies prove effective before 2019?

resultNo

Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

20%chance

Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?

resultNo

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
34 comments34
Ragnarök Series

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Impermissibility of eating animals and animal products

result18.37

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

2.5%chance

What will be the minimum price (in 2021 USD) to clone a pet dog in 2030?

12.6k $