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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will the Universe end?

70%chance

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%chance
4% this week

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

2.69
objects

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

1%chance

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

12
2 comments2
Metaculus Journal Archives

The Global Push to Return to the Moon: Predicting the Lunar Landings and Trends of the 2020s

10
no comments0
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance

A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?

resultNo

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%chance

Life on the Icy Moons and Ocean Worlds of the Outer Solar System

15
1 comment1