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The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

12
2 comments2
Metaculus Journal Archives

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

0.52 AU

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

1%chance

The Future of Human Spaceflight

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

1%chance

A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?

resultNo

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%chance

Life on the Icy Moons and Ocean Worlds of the Outer Solar System

15
1 comment1

Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives