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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

23%chance

What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

00

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea4%
Saudi Arabia3%
Japan2%
and 6 others

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran65%
Saudi Arabia14%
South Korea10%
and 7 others

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

23%chance

Solar Power: Current Challenges, Encouraging Progress

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?

9.67%

Doomsday Clock and ICAN Forecasting

2
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?

resultYes