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New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
11 comments11
POTUS Predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

5%chance

What Is the Future of American Financial Surveillance?

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will the US Senate weaken or eliminate the filibuster before January 3, 2029?

18%chance

Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?

resultNo

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%chance

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
and 17 others

Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?

Democrat Senate, Rep Houseresult: Yes
Republican Senate & Houseresult: No
Republican Senate, Dem Houseresult: No
and 1 other

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
and 3 others