• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Collaborative Intelligence: Harnessing Crowd Forecasting for National Security

3
no comments0

Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?

8
20 comments20

Future Perfect 2020 Series

7
5 comments5
Future Perfect 2020 Series

When will there be at least one billion Americans?

>2120

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

21
13 comments13
Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

Public Figures: New Figure Suggestions

34
183 comments183

Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?

1.1%chance

Vox Future Perfect Predictions for 2022

8
5 comments5
Future Perfect 2022 Series

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

1%chance

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

80.1%chance