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Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

4.5%chance

New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
11 comments11
POTUS Predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%chance

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
and 17 others

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
and 13 others

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting

21
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
and 17 others

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

7.48
←→0.1 this week

Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?

8
20 comments20