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New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
11 comments11
POTUS Predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?

resultNo

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
and 17 others

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

7.54

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting

21
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?

Texas50%
California35%
Florida20%
and 47 others

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

no comments0

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

5%chance

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the May 2025 Polish election?

Rafał Trzaskowskiresult: Yes
Karol Nawrockiresult: No
Someone elseresult: No