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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Gary Marcus win72.1%
Nathan Young win25.8%
Other2.1%

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

What will be the ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?

Key Factor

difficulty level influences bot performance

54%
6.8 % this week

Key Factor

difficulty level influences bot performance

Will an OpenAI model be ranked #1 overall on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of the 2nd Quarter of 2025?

resultNo

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

What will be the average production cost (per edible kg) of cell-cultured chicken meat at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?

Forecast revealed in 3 months

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?

0-254.9%
3-427%
5-610%
and 3 others

What will be the ranking of the All-In podcast on the Spotify Podcast Charts on June 28, 2025?

Forty-first through fiftiethresult: Yes
Twenty-first through fortiethresult: No
Fifty-first through sixtiethresult: No
and 2 others

Will a Gemini model be ranked #1 overall on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of the 2nd Quarter of 2025?

Annulled