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When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

When will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

23%chance

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

Jun 2040

Solar Power: Current Challenges, Encouraging Progress

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45Q carbon capture tax credit established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?

No sunset reduction before 202682%
2025-2026 sunset w/ safe harbor6%
2027-2028 sunset w/ safe harbor4%
and 4 others

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance

Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2020 to 2023 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?

resultNo