• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🌍🤲
Forecast With GiveWell
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

7
4 comments4
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

18
8 comments8
Academy Summer Series

Human-Level Language Models

36
16 comments16

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

19
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

The Patchwork Future: An Exercise in Interpolation

5
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?

00

🇨🇳 Round 2: Chinese AI Chips Tournament

10
no comments0
Chinese AI Chips

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

4%chance