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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Human-Level Language Models

36
16 comments16

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

35%chance

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

19
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI

7
3 comments3
AI Progress Essay Contest

What will be the world population in the following years?

What will the world population be in the following years?

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama29.3%
AI-Dystopia28%
Singularia17.3%
and 2 others

Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?

resultNo

Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

9%chance

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

10%chance