• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🌍🤲
Forecast With GiveWell
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Contributed by the Gary Marcus's AI Forecasts community.

Will a large-scale cyberattack in which Generative AI plays an important causal role occur by December 31, 2025?

19%chance

Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

18
8 comments8
Academy Summer Series

Human-Level Language Models

36
16 comments16

Methods for Solving Protein Structures

7
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

A brief but hopeful vignette

4
1 comment1
AI Progress Essay Contest

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

19
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI

7
3 comments3
AI Progress Essay Contest

The State of Metaculus

13
38 comments38

Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?

resultNo

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

10%chance