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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

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Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

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Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

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15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

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3 comments3
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Important Updates to Prediction Auto-withdrawal

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69 comments69

Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting

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2 comments2

Platform feature suggestions

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2961 comments2961
Metaculus Meta

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 75% accuracy be reached on LAB-Bench Cloning Scenarios by a Claude Sonnet 4 scale model by Anthropic?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 75% accuracy be reached on LAB-Bench Cloning Scenarios by a Llama 4 Behemoth scale model by Meta?

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

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4 comments4
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25