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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Gary Marcus win72.1%
Nathan Young win25.8%
Other2.1%

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

35%chance

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

What will be the ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?

Key Factor

difficulty level influences bot performance

54%
6.8 % this week

Key Factor

difficulty level influences bot performance

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Anthropic reach or surpass ASL-4?

06 Jun 2030
14.1 months this week

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Moderate57.9%
High23.2%
Low (or lower)15.8%
and 1 other

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?

0-254.9%
3-427%
5-610%
and 3 others

What will be the ranking of the All-In podcast on the Spotify Podcast Charts on June 28, 2025?

Forty-first through fiftiethresult: Yes
Twenty-first through fortiethresult: No
Fifty-first through sixtiethresult: No
and 2 others