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Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

1
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Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will the unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the United States rise to 20% or more for three months before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

5
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Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

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Metaculus Cup

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will 20 million Americans be laid off from private sector jobs in any quarter before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

What percentage of businesses surveyed in 2029 will cite regulatory uncertainty as a relevant risk of AI?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

How many of the following countries will enact a comprehensive national-level AI law before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

How many of the following countries will enact a national-level law that restricts the deployment of high-risk AI systems before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

What will be the total disclosed VC funding levels globally invested in AI startups during 2029?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Key Factor

The scalability of technology is going to be the biggest key factor which will decide the winner

Gary Marcus win84.1%
Nathan Young win13.9%
Other2%

Key Factor

The scalability of technology is going to be the biggest key factor which will decide the winner