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The Lightning Round Tournament: Comparing Metaculus Forecasters to Infectious Disease Experts

37
85 comments85
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Lightning Round Tournament Discussion 1.0

7
5 comments5
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Will the community prediction do better than the Metaculus prediction for the 2nd instalment of the Lightning round?

resultYes

Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

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8 comments8
Academy Summer Series

Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

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1 comment1
Academy Summer Series

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

Odds Dan wins in fantasy this week (week of 10/7).

resultNo