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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Gary Marcus win72.1%
Nathan Young win25.8%
Other2.1%

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?

Key Factor

Other countries primarily supplying Ukraine

076.6%
115.5%
25.9%
and 2 others

Key Factor

Other countries primarily supplying Ukraine

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

resultYes
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

3 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1 comment1

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?

When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

Forecast revealed in 2 days