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Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

1
no comments0

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

5
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

How many of the following countries will enact a national-level law that restricts the deployment of high-risk AI systems before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?

Key Factor

difficulty level influences bot performance

56%
4.3 % this week

Key Factor

difficulty level influences bot performance

📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Moderate56.8%
High21.9%
Low (or lower)16.3%
and 1 other

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00

What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on it's public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?

Key Factor

Progress faster than previous year

20.6
1.8 this week

Key Factor

Progress faster than previous year

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

14
3 comments3
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament