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Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

Key Factor

US relies on SpaceX, risk to punish too high

1%chance

Key Factor

US relies on SpaceX, risk to punish too high

When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

result10 Jan 2025 19:11

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00

Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?)

resultNo

When will an individual SpaceX Falcon 9 core stage launch and return to Earth for the tenth time?

result09 May 2021 06:00

Space Sector ‘Greenification’

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

The Future of Human Spaceflight

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

00

What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?