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Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

Key Factor

Trump doesn't like EVs, could target Tesla

1%chance

Key Factor

Trump doesn't like EVs, could target Tesla

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00

When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

result10 Jan 2025 19:11

The Future of Human Spaceflight

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?)

resultNo

How many Starlink satellites will be in operation on January 1, 2028?

11.1k
satellites

When will an individual SpaceX Falcon 9 core stage launch and return to Earth for the tenth time?

result09 May 2021 06:00

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?

resultNo

Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?

resultNo