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Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?

65%chance

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

59.7
countries

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

70%chance

How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?

5.72
states

Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?

resultYes

Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions

15
no comments0
2022 Scott Alexander predictions

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

2028117k
2026116k

Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025?

15%chance