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New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
11 comments11
POTUS Predictions

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
and 3 others

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
and 12 others

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

7.48
←→0.1 this week

Future Perfect 2020 Series

7
5 comments5
Future Perfect 2020 Series

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%chance

Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

5
1 comment1
Academy Summer Series

Possible Worlds Series

11
2 comments2
Possible Worlds Series (with Ought)

How do we operationalize whether the US will experience a constitutional crisis/widespread unrest after 2020 elections?

14
30 comments30

The 20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

18
48 comments48
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest