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29 comments
254 forecasters

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Current estimate
May 2043
39 comments
76 forecasters

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

Current estimate
Sep 2047
47 comments
334 forecasters

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

25%chance
23 comments
153 forecasters

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

Current estimate
2077
10 comments
95 forecasters

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Current estimate
Sep 2051
4 comments
66 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

16%chance

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

12 comments
9 forecasters

What is the probability that a state of emergency, a state of danger, and a state of threat to the state will be declared in the Czech Republic by the end of 2025?

State of emergency9%
Danger status25%
State of emergency0.5%