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29
comments
254
forecasters
When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?
Current estimate
May 2043
39
comments
76
forecasters
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?
Current estimate
Sep 2047
47
comments
334
forecasters
Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?
25%
chance
23
comments
153
forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?
Current estimate
2077
10
comments
95
forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?
Current estimate
Sep 2051
4
comments
66
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16%
chance
Contributed by the
Odborný Predikční Tým
community.
12
comments
9
forecasters
What is the probability that a state of emergency, a state of danger, and a state of threat to the state will be declared in the Czech Republic by the end of 2025?
State of emergency
9%
Danger status
25%
State of emergency
0.5%