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Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

What is the probability that a state of emergency, a state of danger, and a state of threat to the state will be declared in the Czech Republic by the end of 2025?

State of emergency9%
Danger status25%
State of emergency0.5%

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

15%chance

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Jan 2043

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

2076

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Oct 2051

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

25%chance