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When will global electricity generation from nuclear fusion power plants exceed global electricity generation from nuclear fission power plants?

2083 (May 2062 - 2097)

1

5

5 forecasters

2083

(May 2062 - 2097)

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

Jul 2045 (Nov 2035 - Apr 2059)

27

77

77 forecasters

Jul 2045

(Nov 2035 - Apr 2059)

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Jul 2041 (Mar 2034 - Jul 2053)

41

256

256 forecasters

Jul 2041

(Mar 2034 - Jul 2053)

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

20% chance

7

69

69 forecasters

20%chance

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

13

32

32 forecasters

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Jul 2047 (Sep 2039 - May 2058)

20

99

99 forecasters

Jul 2047

(Sep 2039 - May 2058)

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

Jan 2073 (Jun 2052 - >2100)

25

156

156 forecasters

Jan 2073

(Jun 2052 - >2100)

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

25% chance

44

340

340 forecasters

25%chance