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75
comments
24
forecasters
Will Joe Biden and/or Kamala Harris attend the Super Bowl in 2025?
result
No
condition
2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee? (Josh Shapiro)
Resolved:
No
26
forecasters
if yes
if no
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris)
55%
55%
Resolved:
Annulled
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris)
55%
55%
Resolved:
No
7
2
2
comments
26
26
forecasters
43
comments
116
forecasters
Will Taylor Swift publicly endorse Kamala Harris for president before October 1, 2024?
result
Yes
101
comments
248
forecasters
Will the 2020 Democratic Nominee be either Kamala Harris or Bernie Sanders?
result
No
9
comments
48
forecasters
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024?
result
Yes
condition
Will Dems have brokered convention in 2024?
Resolved:
No
19
forecasters
if yes
if no
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Kamala Harris)
91%
91%
Resolved:
Annulled
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Kamala Harris)
99%
99%
Resolved:
Yes
0
comments
19
19
forecasters
Conditional Cup
77
comments
462
forecasters
Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?
result
No
condition
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Kamala Harris)
Resolved:
Yes
44
forecasters
if yes
if no
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
45%
45%
Resolved:
Yes
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
60%
60%
Resolved:
Annulled
8
1
1
comment
44
44
forecasters
13
comments
57
forecasters
Will Kamala Harris go on Joe Rogan's podcast before the 2024 election?
result
No
3
comments
27
forecasters
Four days after the first Donald Trump-Kamala Harris debate, how much will Harris's probability of winning change, according to the Metaculus Community?
community
1.62
result
4
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