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Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Key Factor

Up to 50% of all variation in lifespan may be due to genetic factors, indicating a significant but not exclusive role of genetics in determining longevity.

How old will the oldest living person be in 2100?

132

years old

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%chance

Drake's Equation 7th parameter L: For how many years does a civilization remain detectable?

18k

years

Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?

55%chance

What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050?

125

years

When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years?

Sep 2060

Will total funding in longevity startups worldwide exceed $5bn in the year ending in November 2nd, 2020?

resultNo

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Immortality - would philosophers choose it?

result44.92

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

58%chance