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Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?

resultYes

Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025?

Key Factor

Hezbollah attacks potentially linked to Iran

resultYes

Key Factor

Hezbollah attacks potentially linked to Iran

What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025?

resultYes

Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026?

resultYes

What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies?

AAPLresult: 95.359 billion $
NVDAresult: 44.062 billion $
MSFTresult: 70.066 billion $
and 1 other

What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025?

Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?

resultNo

What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025?

result69.3

Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?

Key Factor

June likely less tariff-focused than May

resultYes

Key Factor

June likely less tariff-focused than May