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21
comments
148
forecasters
Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?
result
Yes
3
comments
85
forecasters
Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?
result
No
16
comments
116
forecasters
What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods?
6
comments
64
forecasters
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026?
result
Yes
4
comments
2
forecasters
How many Israeli hostages will Hamas release before 2024?
community
93
result
Annulled
23
comments
121
forecasters
Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release?
result
No
18
comments
121
forecasters
What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods?
7
comments
8
forecasters
Will the US stock market go down by more than 2% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025?
result
Yes
5
comments
8
forecasters
Will Israel and Hamas conduct a prisoner exchange involving ≥20 Israelis and ≥20 Palestinians in 2023?
result
Yes
32
comments
155
forecasters
How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?
20-29
result:
Yes
30-39
3.6%
≥40
0.5%
2 others
0%
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