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US Democracy Index

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When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

community

14 Nov 2025 00:27

result

13 Nov 2025 03:15 UTC

6 comments

6 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)

resultYes

15 comments

69 forecasters

Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?

resultYes

Key Factors

9 comments

67 forecasters

When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?

community

13 Nov 2025 02:56

result

12 Nov 2025 21:15 UTC

Key Factors

3 comments

34 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?

resultYes

4 comments

10 forecasters

Will Burbank, California receive any rain in November 2025?

resultYes

Key Factors

5 comments

14 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025?

resultYes

3 comments

7 forecasters

Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds compete in the 2025 FIDE World Cup final?

resultYes

6 comments

21 forecasters

How many estimated excess deaths due to starvation will occur in Ethiopia as a result of the Tigray war?

community

461k

result

157k

35 comments

37 forecasters

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No

Barack Obamaresult: No

Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No