Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jararesult: No

José Antonio Kastresult: Yes

Evelyn Mattheiresult: No

12 comments

13 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jararesult: Yes

José Antonio Kastresult: No

Evelyn Mattheiresult: No

7 comments

51 forecasters

How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026?

community

>75.5 People

result

More than 75.5 People

Key Factors

6 comments

9 forecasters

Will Yuma, Arizona receive any rain in November 2025?

resultYes

5 comments

31 forecasters

When will Google first release Gemini 3.0?

community

19 Nov 2025 15:28

result

18 Nov 2025 16:00 UTC

4 comments

10 forecasters

Will Burbank, California receive any rain in November 2025?

resultYes

Key Factors

6 comments

34 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

community

14 Nov 2025 00:27

result

13 Nov 2025 03:15 UTC

15 comments

69 forecasters

Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?

resultYes

Key Factors

6 comments

6 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)

resultYes

35 comments

37 forecasters

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No

Barack Obamaresult: No

Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No