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21 comments
148 forecasters

Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?

resultYes
3 comments
85 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?

resultNo
16 comments
116 forecasters

What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods?

6 comments
64 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026?

resultYes
4 comments
2 forecasters

How many Israeli hostages will Hamas release before 2024?

community
93
result
Annulled
23 comments
121 forecasters

Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release?

resultNo
18 comments
121 forecasters

What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods?

7 comments
8 forecasters

Will the US stock market go down by more than 2% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025?

resultYes
5 comments
8 forecasters

Will Israel and Hamas conduct a prisoner exchange involving ≥20 Israelis and ≥20 Palestinians in 2023?

resultYes
32 comments
155 forecasters

How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?

20-29result: Yes
30-393.6%
≥400.5%