Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will a major network call the election prematurely?
Resolved :
No
13%
61 forecasters
15 comments
15
Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?
Resolved :
No
56%
307 forecasters
43
122 comments
122
Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?
Resolved :
Yes
80%
117 forecasters
4
32 comments
32
Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?
Resolved :
No
1%
50 forecasters
13
9 comments
9
[Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday?
Resolved :
Yes
80%
62 forecasters
7
18 comments
18
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
condition
2024 US election considered fraudulent?
Resolved :
No
18 forecasters
if yes
if no
Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?
55%
55%
Resolved :
Annulled
Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?
25%
25%
4
4 comments
4
condition
2024 US election considered fraudulent?
Resolved :
No
16 forecasters
if yes
if no
Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?
51%
51%
Resolved :
Annulled
Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?
45%
45%
Resolved :
No
1 comment
1
Conditional Cup