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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
30 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment
3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3 comments
54 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet31.7%
OpenAI25%
Anthropic16.8%
6 comments
43 forecasters

What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Current estimate
16.2 pp
2 comments
45 forecasters

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

93%chance
2% today
99 comments
294 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

45%chance
7% this week
8 comments
86 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL1.78
AMD1.09
3 comments
6 forecasters

When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?

Current estimate
21 Feb 2027