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Nuclear Technology & Risks
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Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
50%
59 forecasters
6
12 comments
12
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years?
2024:
2%
109 forecasters
10
16 comments
16
Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?
6%
138 forecasters
11
15 comments
15
Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?
28%
63 forecasters
7
11 comments
11
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many Annex 2 states will ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty by 2024?
Resolved :
0
51 forecasters
2
4 comments
4
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Forecasting Nuclear Risk in 2022
34
7 comments
7
Ukraine Conflict
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Closed
20 forecasters
if yes
if no
New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?
54%
54%
New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?
40%
40%
3
10 comments
10
2024 Electoral Consequences
