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Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025?

Anthropic AI Claude, not optional

OpenAI GPT-4, not optional

OpenAI GPT-4, optional

6

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

4

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

182 forecasters

16

Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?

107 forecasters

23

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

11

Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?

11

Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?

119 forecasters

15

Will security patches against "Specter-NG" vulnerabilities be available for end-users by September 2018?

Resolved :Ambiguous

3

Will a "Deepfake" video about a national U.S. political candidate running for office in 2018 get 2M+ views?

6

What will be the total aggregate score given to China by Freedom House for the calendar year 2028?

111 forecasters

23