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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4

Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?

37.9% this week

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Key Factor

The scalability of technology is going to be the biggest key factor which will decide the winner

Gary Marcus win80.9%

Nathan Young win17%

Key Factor

The scalability of technology is going to be the biggest key factor which will decide the winner

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4

Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

55.5% this week

What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will OpenAI first report that an AI system has achieved the following a risk levels on AI Self-improvement?

Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Kostiantynivka7%

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, what will be the index value for Labor Productivity for the "Information" sector for the fourth quarter of 2028?

Forecast revealed