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Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

2
no comments0

When will the RSA-2048 challenge number be factorized by a quantum computer?

Jun 2032
2.2 years this week

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will the unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the United States rise to 20% or more for three months before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

5
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

75%chance
55.5% this week

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Pokrovsk9%
Myrnohrad7%
Kostiantynivka5%
and 1 other

What will be the initial installation size of GTA VI on PlayStation 5 at launch?

Forecast revealed in 6 days