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After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
30.8
302 forecasters
35
49 comments
49
AGI Outcomes
After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
19.1
235 forecasters
44
36 comments
36
AGI Outcomes
2022 Resolutions: Predict with Public Figures
12
no comments
0
Will Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena have an ontologically-shocking explanation?
1%
92 forecasters
9
13 comments
13
Will molecular nanotechnology have been proven feasible by the following years?
2050
77%
2040
56.2%
2030
24.2%
7
3 comments
3
Future of AI