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Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

200 forecasters

23

Will Lawrence v. Texas be overturned by 2030?

12

Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?

Resolved :No50%

11

When will the US close the Guantanamo Bay detention camp?

9

Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment?

21

When will an upper-bound on the age of federal US politicians be implemented?

6

What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?

11

Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025?

Resolved :Yes33%

113 forecasters

22

If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025?

Resolved :Yes96%

122 forecasters

17

Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?

Resolved :No0.4%

147 forecasters

12