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Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
58 forecasters
8
9 comments
9
When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
2047-10-23
40 forecasters
14
25 comments
25
Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?
42.7%
101 forecasters
8
17 comments
17
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?
2031-11-18
42 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Alt-Protein Tournament
Ragnarรถk Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
23.9%
32 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
15%
78 forecasters
7
25 comments
25
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
56.7%
51 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?
55%
159 forecasters
34
28 comments
28
Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?
99%
293 forecasters
33
67 comments
67
AI Demonstrations
When will the first human be born on another world?
2073-07-19
141 forecasters
27