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Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
67%
277 forecasters
33
22 comments
22
If >100 offensive nuclear detonations occur in a single conflict by 2030, will this cause a global temperature drop of ≥3°C?
25%
45 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?
Resolved :
Yes
402 forecasters
132
42 comments
42
Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?
Resolved :
No
127 forecasters
14
12 comments
12
Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?
Resolved :
No
644 forecasters
44
44 comments
44
Will a world war begin before 2151?
60%
409 forecasters
55
38 comments
38
What will be the total damage incurred by climate change in the 21st century as measured by its impact on GDP?
10.9
18 forecasters
12
9 comments
9
Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?
45%
47 forecasters
9
4 comments
4
What will the magnitude of most severe earthquake to strike California in 2020 be?
Resolved :
5.8
58 forecasters
8
20 comments
20
Will Charm Industrial still exist in 2030?
41%
26 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
Stripe Climate Series
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