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When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
2025-07-22
958 forecasters
67
120 comments
120
Effective Institutions Project
Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue before 2025?
Closed
0.1%
362 forecasters
53
84 comments
84
Business of AI
Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be available for free public use on Jan 31, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
161 forecasters
16
31 comments
31
Business of AI
Will OpenAI release a public API for programmatically querying ChatGPT before April 1, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
67.1%
62 forecasters
7
12 comments
12
Business of AI
Will ChatGPT have multiple tiers of capability before 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
90%
52 forecasters
8
2 comments
2
Business of AI
condition
Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced?
Resolved :
No
13 forecasters
if yes
if no
When will GPT5 be announced?
2025-11-17
Resolved :
Annulled
2025-11-17
When will GPT5 be announced?
2025-01-22
4
no comments
0
condition
Deepfake Attempt in Major News in 2023
Resolved :
Yes
5 forecasters
if yes
if no
When will GPT5 be announced?
2024-08-25
When will GPT5 be announced?
2024-08-10
Resolved :
Annulled
2024-08-10
3
no comments
0