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When will the United States admit a new state?
2036-05-16
113 forecasters
20
29 comments
29
A major United States earthquake by 2023?
Resolved :
No
17%
319 forecasters
36
65 comments
65
Will Tulsi Gabbard drop out before the Hawaii primary?
Resolved :
Yes
40%
100 forecasters
9
31 comments
31
By 31 December 2021 will any hospital in the US have an official policy to triage COVID patients based on vaccination status?
Resolved :
No
15%
59 forecasters
7
31 comments
31
When will the Jones Act be repealed?
2029-10-29
12 forecasters
11
11 comments
11
What will be the official death count for the 2023 Hawai'i wildfires as of January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
100
113
18 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
50%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
10
30 comments
30
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pennsylvania
Yes
Wisconsin
No
Michigan
No
10 others
7
37 comments
37