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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
70%
Mali
60%
70 others
30
82 comments
82
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
68%
Democratic Republic of Congo
61.1%
52 others
34
210 comments
210
Will Hungary leave the EU before 2030?
5%
90 forecasters
12
18 comments
18
Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?
Resolved :
No
30%
104 forecasters
11
7 comments
7
Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?
Resolved :
No
35%
53 forecasters
2
2 comments
2
Will no evidence for a new light (17 MeV) particle be independently published before 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
94 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
What will the maximum z-score be for Hungary for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?
Resolved :
16.1
17
26 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
How many countries will allow 17 year olds to vote in 2026?
Closed
15.8
37 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?
Resolved :
No
10%
45 forecasters
11
11 comments
11
Animal Welfare Series
What will Hungary's total fertility rate be in 2023?
Resolved :
1.51
1.65
31 forecasters
9
13 comments
13
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