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How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?

Above upper bound

3

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

151 forecasters

13

Ragnarök Series

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

2

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5

Ragnarök Series

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

10

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

3

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

221 forecasters

33

Ragnarök Series

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

111 forecasters

16

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

9