Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will iPhones have a default search provider other than Google?
2028-03-26
23 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Business of AI
Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?
Resolved :
No
12%
48 forecasters
15
10 comments
10
How many iPhones will Apple sell in the first quarter of FY2018?
Resolved :
77.3
76.9
30 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
Will Moore's Law end by 2025?
Closed
58%
203 forecasters
29
23 comments
23
What will be the market capitalization for Astra Space (ASTR) two weeks after going public?
Resolved :
2.76
6.06
17 forecasters
1
14 comments
14
Will Apple adopt RCS technology for iPhones before 2026?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
36 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
When will iPhones in the US have USB-C ports?
Resolved :
Sep 22, 2023
2023-10-01
30 forecasters
15
21 comments
21
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026?
European Union
Yes
United Kingdom
59%
United States
29%
12
8 comments
8
Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
52 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
How much will Google be reported to pay Apple for being the default search provider on iPhones in 2023?
Resolved :
Annulled
22.1M
4 forecasters
5 comments
5
Load More