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Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
2%
285 forecasters
26
81 comments
81
Israel-Gaza Conflict
When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?
2043-04-18
98 forecasters
16
45 comments
45
Will Iran recognize Israel before 2070?
50%
82 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
Verity
Will Iran disempower its Guidance Patrol "modesty police" before 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.5%
103 forecasters
14
29 comments
29
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
20%
16 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World
4
16 comments
16
Metaculus Journal Archives