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Will a U.S. Presidentโs State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?
2025
No
2030
45%
2040
69%
7
14 comments
14
Future of AI
When will the US close the Guantanamo Bay detention camp?
Jan 2034
26 forecasters
9
7 comments
7
Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?
Resolved :
No
5%
146 forecasters
9
15 comments
15
Will the 2020 Democratic Nominee be either Kamala Harris or Bernie Sanders?
Resolved :
No
52%
247 forecasters
18
101 comments
101
Will Joe Biden run for President in 2020?
Resolved :
Yes
59%
50 forecasters
2
7 comments
7
Will the winner of the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses win the 2020 Democratic nomination?
Resolved :
No
33%
60 forecasters
3
29 comments
29
Will Joe Biden be the Democratic candidate in the 2020 US presidential election?
Resolved :
Yes
95%
263 forecasters
30
105 comments
105
Future Perfect 2020 Series
Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
437 forecasters
28
109 comments
109
Future Perfect 2020 Series
7
5 comments
5
Future Perfect 2020 Series
How many contests will Bernie Sanders win in the 2020 Democratic Primaries?
Resolved :
10
9.14
83 forecasters
4
42 comments
42
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