0 comments
13 forecasters
In the following years, will the DOJ decline to act on a criminal contempt referral of a current or former executive official who served under the sitting president?
0 comments
11 forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?
0 comments
15 forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
0 comments
14 forecasters
Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?
45 comments
166 forecasters
When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?
Current estimate
19 Jul 2029
0 comments
14 forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?
0 comments
46 forecasters
Will a SCOTUS decision weakening donor disclosure rules for political spending or electioneering communications be good law in the following years?
7 comments
12 forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Latest estimate
14.8 pp
This question is closed for forecasting.