Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
1%
181 forecasters
16
15 comments
15
When will Ukrainian ground forces enter Russia?
Resolved :
Annulled
01 Jan 2024
123 forecasters
6
45 comments
45
Red Lines in Ukraine
Will Ukrainian military forces strike targets more than 10 kilometers inside Russian territory?
Resolved :
05 Dec 2022
08 Mar 2023
22 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
Red Lines in Ukraine
If a Five Eyes nation attributes the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam to a specific nation before July 2024, to which nation will it be attributed?
Russia
Annulled
Ukraine
Annulled
12
34 comments
34
Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
128 forecasters
10
5 comments
5