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Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
95%
North Macedonia
85%
Albania
82%
17 others
25
51 comments
51
When will a West Balkan state next join the EU?
Dec 2029
42 forecasters
10
9 comments
9
When will Serbia recognize Kosovo?
2042
30 forecasters
5
7 comments
7
Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
74 forecasters
14
15 comments
15
When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?
Albania
Jan 2035
Serbia
Jan 2035
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Jan 2035
15 others
3
1 comment
1
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
87 forecasters
6
12 comments
12
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
Resolved :
No
48 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
45%
45%
Resolved :
Annulled
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
20%
20%
5
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
How many UN members will recognize Kosovo at the end of 2025?
102
Annulled
103
Annulled
104 or 105
Annulled
5 others
3
12 comments
12
condition
Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?
Resolved :
No
28 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
0%
0%
Resolved :
Annulled
US Iran War Before 2025?
0%
0%
Resolved :
No
2
no comments
0
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