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Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
50%
238 forecasters
21
14 comments
14
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
40%
379 forecasters
37
40 comments
40
Ragnarök Series
In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?
Resolved :
No
38%
16 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
AI Safety
Will the AI's major professional society take a position on "killer robots"?
Resolved :
No
17%
15 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
Assassination by autonomous weapon by 2025?
Resolved :
No
38%
124 forecasters
23
18 comments
18
Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?
Resolved :
Yes
63%
37 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?
Resolved :
2
6.23
96 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
Business of AI
Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?
11%
47 forecasters
11
12 comments
12
Regulation of AI
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
16 comments
16